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. >> for the economy? i think we have to divorce the economy from the market. >> have we been price thatting that out? >> we have to be clear that markets are totally different from the economy. for the markets, we're looking at 2% scenario. scenario a would be similar to 2012 where i think actually the economy doesn't do that well. the first half is difficult. second half is a bit better. we've still got the fed printing 5 billion a month. we could see a rerun of 2012. maybe mid to single high digit returns. >> did you get exposure of citi to bofa here? >> we wouldn't be. we're taking a little bit of money off the table or indeed i think we did. the level of implied volatility makes perfect sense here. >> we'll leave it here for now. thanks very much. over to you, ross. >> kelly, thanks for that. so we are just about an hour and 20 minutes into the trading day here in europe. you can see advancers just about outpace decliners by a ratio of 6 to 4 and we're up near the high point of the session which has d
. >> for the economy? i think we have to divorce the economy from the market. >> have we been price thatting that out? >> we have to be clear that markets are totally different from the economy. for the markets, we're looking at 2% scenario. scenario a would be similar to 2012 where i think actually the economy doesn't do that well. the first half is difficult. second half is a bit better. we've still got the fed printing 5 billion a month. we could see a rerun of 2012. maybe...
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how will it affect the economy? we will hear from the man managing your money. also, ebay tells us how the company is cashing in on the red-hot transit after the company turns in their best earnings report ever. >>> and last but not least a rare and explosive interview with wells fargo chairman and ceo telling us us about another mortgage decline. we will see you in the last hour of the trading day. mandy, see you then. >> indeed we will. >>> looking like a tough quarter. john has three important numbers in this report. what are those three? >> with $13.6 mill billion, plus or minus a half billion. and so here are my three numberes. one, pc client group revenues. intel had 8.6 million in revenue. that group overall, expecting to be a little higher in q4 and that has to come from pcs or servers. pc sales are down 4.9% from last year. if that's right, you got to hope servers deliver big for intel. two full year gross margin guidance, with capex spending and particularly important now because of how demand shifts in the pc market. his intel plans running below capa
how will it affect the economy? we will hear from the man managing your money. also, ebay tells us how the company is cashing in on the red-hot transit after the company turns in their best earnings report ever. >>> and last but not least a rare and explosive interview with wells fargo chairman and ceo telling us us about another mortgage decline. we will see you in the last hour of the trading day. mandy, see you then. >> indeed we will. >>> looking like a tough...
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there's still too much uncertainty, and there needs to be more clarify for the economy to take off. >> a really important point because i think businesses are, you know, shaping up and are currently in great shape in terms of cash on balance sheets. >> terrific. >> so they have the potential to put money to work, although that uncertainty factor is really keeping them from doing so. >> in fact, corporate balance sheets have never been better. liquidity, cash, we've grown 300 billion in core deposits in four years. you know, consumer balance sheets. even though the debt hasn't come down that much because interest rates are so low, the interest carries. the debt service is back to 1998 or 1990 so there's great capacity to invest, to hire, to grow, to buy things, but this uncertainty thing puts a real cloud on things otherwise people would do. they are putting them in abeyance. >> i'm going to get back to that. a real issue. want to get your take on solutions, but you mentioned interest rates and this low interest rate environment. you're putting your bet on growing net interest income.
there's still too much uncertainty, and there needs to be more clarify for the economy to take off. >> a really important point because i think businesses are, you know, shaping up and are currently in great shape in terms of cash on balance sheets. >> terrific. >> so they have the potential to put money to work, although that uncertainty factor is really keeping them from doing so. >> in fact, corporate balance sheets have never been better. liquidity, cash, we've grown...
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Jan 16, 2013
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. >>> we are moments away from the fed's latest read on the economy. here is how the markets are doing. right now the dow lost its strength, down 23 point on the trading session. s&p is dead in the water all hour and nasdaq is actually up about 10 points on the trading session, ty? >> sue w, watch this story in algeria. that does it for "power lunch." thanks for joining us today. >> and "street signs" begins now with breaking news on the fed and economy. >> that's right, sue and tyler. we have boeing in crisis. we have housing on the mend and five-star stock picks. we've also got the very latest on a scary story in algeria where militants say they have taken 41 people hostage, include something americans, at a bp oil field. well get to that in a moment but let us get to breaking news for the fed and how they are performing and get to steve liesman. steve? >> the federal reserve district says economic growth is modest to moderate in all 12 districts. that's how we normally lead but that's not the most important. what is important is the talk about how f
. >>> we are moments away from the fed's latest read on the economy. here is how the markets are doing. right now the dow lost its strength, down 23 point on the trading session. s&p is dead in the water all hour and nasdaq is actually up about 10 points on the trading session, ty? >> sue w, watch this story in algeria. that does it for "power lunch." thanks for joining us today. >> and "street signs" begins now with breaking news on the fed and...
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first to be hired when the economy comes back. and coming back is exactly what the economy is doing right now. just today we saw the jobless claims drop to the lowest level in five years. >> house ofre. >> full-time employment up 1.4% in 2012, the total number of temporary employees increased by 6.2%. that rapid growth is expected to continue in 2013. the street is looking for 5% growth in temporary employment this year. however, i think that number could ultimately end up being conservative thanks to the affordable care act. aka obama care. once that goes into affect in 2014, companies that employ more than 50 full-time workers will need to provide employees with expensive health care coverage or pay $2,000 on to $3,000 penalty. businesses of all sizes are searching for ways to cope with the law, and the easiest way to avoid paying expenses is to hire more temps. see, to qualify for health care coverage under the affordable care act, they are more likely to hire temp employees. you will have try to have fewer than 50 full-time em
first to be hired when the economy comes back. and coming back is exactly what the economy is doing right now. just today we saw the jobless claims drop to the lowest level in five years. >> house ofre. >> full-time employment up 1.4% in 2012, the total number of temporary employees increased by 6.2%. that rapid growth is expected to continue in 2013. the street is looking for 5% growth in temporary employment this year. however, i think that number could ultimately end up being...
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it will be especially good for the economy. >> good to see you, mr. tisch. thank you. >>> we're going to go to bert that coombs for a market flash. take it away. >> thanks, tyler. the teen retailer, bmo is out with a flash note saying it looks like the company is finally getting serious to turn things around. they want to focus on the expertise of some of the new management and also to try to capture that teenage mind not with key items, tyler, but the whole outfit. everybody likes to see the whole shebang. >> i like the outfits. >>> lance armstrong revealing all on oprah, including he is manti te'o's girlfriend. how much of a hit will the armstrong brand take? stay with us. lance. ♪ [ male announcer ] when we built the cadillac ats from the ground up to be the world's best sport sedan... ♪ ...people noticed. ♪ the all-new cadillac ats -- 2013 north american car of the year. ♪ for a limited time, take advantage of this exceptional offer on the all-new cadillac ats. omnipotent of opportunity. you know how to mix business... with business. and you...re
it will be especially good for the economy. >> good to see you, mr. tisch. thank you. >>> we're going to go to bert that coombs for a market flash. take it away. >> thanks, tyler. the teen retailer, bmo is out with a flash note saying it looks like the company is finally getting serious to turn things around. they want to focus on the expertise of some of the new management and also to try to capture that teenage mind not with key items, tyler, but the whole outfit....
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Jan 18, 2013
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can you not have a couple of people in one room who are going to get your economy right. you need to get the incentives right and need to have the information disbursed. let's talk about the bank regulation part first. i think a lot of what we saw was one a factor of who was on the fed. you had a bunch of academics as cramer mentioned earlier, didn't have that many people who knew about banking, a lot of information coming from wall street. investment banks look a lot different than commercial banks, a lot of different things going on in the sectors so you didn't even have people at the table who really had a sense of what was going on at the economy so i would feel much more comfortable if we take banking regulation and give it to the bank regulators because ultimately i think a lot of the bailouts were about the mistakes made the new york fed, mistakes made at the fed board and they were using bailouts to cover up their own mistakes. aig, all of these cdss were done because the bank approved of cds to create bank capital. they create that had mistake. we can argue wheth
can you not have a couple of people in one room who are going to get your economy right. you need to get the incentives right and need to have the information disbursed. let's talk about the bank regulation part first. i think a lot of what we saw was one a factor of who was on the fed. you had a bunch of academics as cramer mentioned earlier, didn't have that many people who knew about banking, a lot of information coming from wall street. investment banks look a lot different than commercial...
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Jan 18, 2013
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they have a plan now to reflight the economy. they are printing a lot of money. 2% is the inflation rate they want. why is that not going to help the japanese economy. many people think it will. >> i think if you study the situation deeply, you see that japanese debt is about 24 times central government tax revenues. when you get into that, when you sail into that zone of insolvency, nothing you can do can help, in my opinion. they would have imploded under their own weight a few years down the road. now they talk about targeting 2% inflation. they don't realize it will force them to explode sooner. >> your criticism is well known, even to japanese ministers of finance, i would argue. >> first of all, when you think about a crisis, 99.9% of the people get it wrong. when you think about 20 years of the procycal cality, the owner ship of bonds of japan is the institutional community. they buy the bonds because they have 28 basis points of yield on the five-year and 70 on the ten. the only way you invest on a bond like that is if th
they have a plan now to reflight the economy. they are printing a lot of money. 2% is the inflation rate they want. why is that not going to help the japanese economy. many people think it will. >> i think if you study the situation deeply, you see that japanese debt is about 24 times central government tax revenues. when you get into that, when you sail into that zone of insolvency, nothing you can do can help, in my opinion. they would have imploded under their own weight a few years...
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Jan 18, 2013
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president, republicans, care less about the economy. supposed to be crushed, absolutely annihilated about worries of the upcoming debt ceiling, and decimated, laid to waste by the end of the tax holiday. rich people stopped dead in their tracks by new tax hikes. one so steep we were supposed to switch to peanut butter and jel sandwiches, pbjs, rather than dining at three-star restaurants. pass the skippy, keep the foie gras. we find out we had the highest housing starts since the boom, climbing 12%, double where we were not that long ago. while analysts were determined to tell you the housing is about to go tepid. numbers don't fit into the scenario, not a negative one and that's the story of the market right now the bullish facts are getting in the way of the bearish story. now, i will tell you on any given day, we're capable of a serious swoon and we are due for one. holy cow. maybe dow and intel not so hot tonight can cause one -- sell, sell, sell! this feels like a moment like the mid-1980s where the bulls are in control, ala boeing
president, republicans, care less about the economy. supposed to be crushed, absolutely annihilated about worries of the upcoming debt ceiling, and decimated, laid to waste by the end of the tax holiday. rich people stopped dead in their tracks by new tax hikes. one so steep we were supposed to switch to peanut butter and jel sandwiches, pbjs, rather than dining at three-star restaurants. pass the skippy, keep the foie gras. we find out we had the highest housing starts since the boom, climbing...
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economy hostage. they are saying no. we are holding the senate hostage it a debt limit increase, that's what they have to do and we will see how far they get with the proposal. if we do a short term extension of the debt limit we are going to make it be clean without conditions. and this is what the back and forth is going to be in the parties over the next couple of weeks. >> let's talk a little bit about two other major deadlines here. does this have any impact whatsoever john as far as can you see on the the impending so-called sequestering, which i believe kicks in sometime in the next six weeks or so. and then in late march, on the idea that the government will run out of money. there will be no authorization to spend anything more and the government could functionally shut down. is that involved here at all? >> not in a formal sense. but of course all of this is linked together, what the spending plans are to come up with cuts to avoid the budget sequester which neither party wants because it affects it in is indis
economy hostage. they are saying no. we are holding the senate hostage it a debt limit increase, that's what they have to do and we will see how far they get with the proposal. if we do a short term extension of the debt limit we are going to make it be clean without conditions. and this is what the back and forth is going to be in the parties over the next couple of weeks. >> let's talk a little bit about two other major deadlines here. does this have any impact whatsoever john as far as...
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is it possible the economy is better than we think. ? >> anyone who has been looking at this for the past three to six months recognizes we're in a very stable, not particularly dramatic, not overly sexy but clearly not disastrous economy. that doesn't raise all sorts of celebratory bells but in a world where people's predisposition is to look for a crisis and assume the worse, consistent okay is a whole lot better. none of these numbers that we've been talking about this let's say five, ten years ago would have struck us as particularly robust. retail sales up half of a percent over the holiday for the month. good number. not an incredible number but a whole lot better than everyone saying oh, this is terrible. >> i think we have the inflation chart. let me put the cpi up. the cpi is falling if i'm not mistaken. for all the talk by the inflationistas of the federal reserve's monetary policy which i basically disagree take a look at that. inflation is one of our problems. quick question. one of the leaders of this market, banks. financia
is it possible the economy is better than we think. ? >> anyone who has been looking at this for the past three to six months recognizes we're in a very stable, not particularly dramatic, not overly sexy but clearly not disastrous economy. that doesn't raise all sorts of celebratory bells but in a world where people's predisposition is to look for a crisis and assume the worse, consistent okay is a whole lot better. none of these numbers that we've been talking about this let's say five,...
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Jan 16, 2013
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how important to your economy and pennsylvania is the fracking shale revolution? it is extremely important and we put an impact fee on the shale. we picked up $204 million rather than put taxes whose impact fee into the community. it has allowed the industry itself to hire people. there are related companiy ies t hire people. and you know the phrase the necessity is the mother of invention. a lot of inventions are being developed but the energy itself allows businesses across the state to grow. a lot of companies in south eastern pennsylvania and philadelphia are going to be using it to power the refineries, it is looking and hopefully will build a facility that will take the ethonol and take ethanes they are paying around $80,000. the average workforce is $47,000. >> why is the governor still waiting? >> i know what is going on. i know there are a number of people that used to be opposed to it. a lot of them have changed here. but there are a certain group that are opposed to it. but i remind many people we follow it closely and it is a technology that has been u
how important to your economy and pennsylvania is the fracking shale revolution? it is extremely important and we put an impact fee on the shale. we picked up $204 million rather than put taxes whose impact fee into the community. it has allowed the industry itself to hire people. there are related companiy ies t hire people. and you know the phrase the necessity is the mother of invention. a lot of inventions are being developed but the energy itself allows businesses across the state to grow....
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grow the economy by bringing in some certainty to it. if he wants to fight hard for tax rate increases, he ought to be fighting just as hard for spending cuts. >> you know, governor, he made an interesting point during his news conference this week where he said if -- if this debate is just about reducing the fiscal deficit, he's on board and let's get it done, but he suspects that there are a lot of conservative republicans out there for whom this debate is about the bigger picture of the role the federal government plays in americans' lives, and he said that's not a debate he wants to have. he doesn't want to be cutting entitlement programs just because conservatives want to reduce the role of government in americans' lives. is it possible we're having two simultaneous debates at once here? >> well, he's got to reconcile the differences. almost like saying i know i'm overweight but don't ask me to go on a diet. i mean, there's got to be efficiencies found in the federal government. the fact that we're cutting spending doesn't mean that
grow the economy by bringing in some certainty to it. if he wants to fight hard for tax rate increases, he ought to be fighting just as hard for spending cuts. >> you know, governor, he made an interesting point during his news conference this week where he said if -- if this debate is just about reducing the fiscal deficit, he's on board and let's get it done, but he suspects that there are a lot of conservative republicans out there for whom this debate is about the bigger picture of...
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we've been talking about a sluggish economy. it is a tough environment for luxury as people trade down and start looking for bargains. joining us is susan lyne, chairman of gilt.com. she's also the former president and ceo of martha stewart living. also on set with us this morning our guest host, mellody hobson. susan thank you for joining us this morning. >> thank you. >> i checked out gilt.com and i have to say, these are great brands at great prices. >> it is. >> how do you offer some of the bargains you're offering? >> you know, we've got long relationships now, we're about five years old, with many of the top brands, and they realize this is a great way for them to sell excess inventory and everyone has excess inventory because these are event-based sales. they're quick. and consumers love them. >> i've seen you run out of stock quickly on these things. buy it now or it's gone type of situation. >> yep. >> is it a difficult environment for luxury right now? is that a fair estimation? >> our sector has had a fantastic holida
we've been talking about a sluggish economy. it is a tough environment for luxury as people trade down and start looking for bargains. joining us is susan lyne, chairman of gilt.com. she's also the former president and ceo of martha stewart living. also on set with us this morning our guest host, mellody hobson. susan thank you for joining us this morning. >> thank you. >> i checked out gilt.com and i have to say, these are great brands at great prices. >> it is. >> how...
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we'll get an indication of where the economy is going and where it's been. volatility, people also watching apple k. it regain $500, that's been, you know, a lot of chatter here and there. and then on the equities side, 1471.25 on s&p futures the high back a few days ago. if we could break through the level, you will see increased fund flows, more money coming to the market to the long side. and it seems like, you know, i'm really -- surprised because the debt ceiling concern and talks, it's been pretty much nonexistent on the industrial -- >> the markets at fresh five-year highs. >> yeah. it's all because we had the fiscal cliff. and it was so volatile coming into it. we saw some massive swings and massive breakdowns coming into it. it seemed like the market was all over the place. with the debt ceiling, everyone thinks they'll kick the can, raise the debt ceiling up, or get resolved within -- >> that mean the market's at risk? it would seem yes, right? >> see, if you -- my opinion of what will happen is if there's any small breakdown in it, you know, if th
we'll get an indication of where the economy is going and where it's been. volatility, people also watching apple k. it regain $500, that's been, you know, a lot of chatter here and there. and then on the equities side, 1471.25 on s&p futures the high back a few days ago. if we could break through the level, you will see increased fund flows, more money coming to the market to the long side. and it seems like, you know, i'm really -- surprised because the debt ceiling concern and talks,...
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Jan 17, 2013
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the economy is morrow less back on track. we think there would be more proactive fiscal policies to come action but most of those announcements will come likely in march. >> the new government has made several nods towards urbanization, so we've seen material stocks go higher. investors like to think of china in the growth sector. is that where you see some of the best opportunities at this point? >> we do see a lot of those sectors did run up after the urbanization push and all of the news media coverage around it. we see more details on the exact urbanization probably in march or april, but at this point i think there's numerous ways to go. the obvious interpretation is more infrastructure investment, but other than the, premier to be has been very focused on the social safety net issues as well, saying he needs to migrate more people into the urban areas. you need to provide better health care and better social housing, so don'tunder estimate what we might see. >> another long-term issue is basic manufacturing is starting
the economy is morrow less back on track. we think there would be more proactive fiscal policies to come action but most of those announcements will come likely in march. >> the new government has made several nods towards urbanization, so we've seen material stocks go higher. investors like to think of china in the growth sector. is that where you see some of the best opportunities at this point? >> we do see a lot of those sectors did run up after the urbanization push and all of...
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Jan 16, 2013
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the economy will be picking up. housing likely to get in on it. >> maybe we're actually breaking -- maybe the valuations aren't -- >> based on what? >> come on, under wells fargo? >> michael dell, and suddenly, mr. skeptic -- >> overheated debt market, that's always a good sign for an economy. that's always a sign that things are getting a lot better. >> it's been getting overheated since 1979. >> big lbos. that worked out real well. no, i'm just -- there's housing, sales of pickups. sales of cars in europe for 2012, not so good. we'll talk about that. >> germany, the bmw sales, volkswagen sales. one of my cousins in mexico is near a bmw, new plant. the germans are down. they're buying like crazy. germany business, good. rest of the continent okay. ford cutting back very dramatically. >> boeing, more problems related to the dreamliner. japanese grounded their 787 for safety checks. the national transportation safety board, faa are going to japan to assess that incident. when the first problems arose last week, week
the economy will be picking up. housing likely to get in on it. >> maybe we're actually breaking -- maybe the valuations aren't -- >> based on what? >> come on, under wells fargo? >> michael dell, and suddenly, mr. skeptic -- >> overheated debt market, that's always a good sign for an economy. that's always a sign that things are getting a lot better. >> it's been getting overheated since 1979. >> big lbos. that worked out real well. no, i'm just --...
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Jan 18, 2013
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this is a developing economy. so in terms of guidelines, the latest figures that we saw for 2012 in terms of gdp or for industrial output and everything else that we saw today looks as though it's point to go a rebound for the chinese economy. although the big question is whether or not this is a full blown recovery and we just don't have those answers yet. kelly. >> eunice, thanks very much recording in from the evening in beijing. you can see the increase in smog we've been seeing all week there. for more on what's happening in china, lewis patz. welcome. thank you so much for your time today. let's start, because as we just heard from eunice, there's a sense that maybe if the decimal point doesn't tell you the whole story, it does add to the feeling growth is turning around. do you expect in 2013 that we see a pick up in china? >> yes. i do think that 2013 as a whole will look better than 2012 did. we started 2012 very weak. we ended 2012 a bit better and we enter 2013 stronger. so it's that momentum that reall
this is a developing economy. so in terms of guidelines, the latest figures that we saw for 2012 in terms of gdp or for industrial output and everything else that we saw today looks as though it's point to go a rebound for the chinese economy. although the big question is whether or not this is a full blown recovery and we just don't have those answers yet. kelly. >> eunice, thanks very much recording in from the evening in beijing. you can see the increase in smog we've been seeing all...
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economy. his comments will set the tone for a fed meeting scheduled for later in the month. >> it will be interesting to see how that jives with what we heard over the weekend, as well. . >>> also, following, apple's report is slashing orders for iphone 5 components because of weak demand. reports suggested the tech giant discussed cutting orders for its iphone. >>> president joe biden is delivering a recommendation on reducing gun voice to the president tomorrow. he said several proposals have broad support, including enforcing background checks and banning high capacity ammunition magazines. biden was asked to come up with the recommendations following the sandy hook shootings last month. >>> the debt ceiling dispute is heating up. the white house says congress can pay its bills or it can fail to act and put the nation into default. some reports suggest the government could run out of cash to pay all its bills as early as mid february. >> thanks for that. there's plenty to keep you entertain
economy. his comments will set the tone for a fed meeting scheduled for later in the month. >> it will be interesting to see how that jives with what we heard over the weekend, as well. . >>> also, following, apple's report is slashing orders for iphone 5 components because of weak demand. reports suggested the tech giant discussed cutting orders for its iphone. >>> president joe biden is delivering a recommendation on reducing gun voice to the president tomorrow. he...
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Jan 21, 2013
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its performance is not really tied into the uk economy. you have to start looking at the second and the third tier of the uk companies. we need to also look at the credit markets. the nonfinancials are very, very safe names. they tend to overperform in a rally. as a result, when drawing comparisons between the uk and the nonuk, one needs to be aware of the fact that we're not comparing like for like. >> final point, just what are your favorite ideas? what do you think happens with trades in the next, say, four to six weeks? >> i think certainly going into the end of january, we continue to rally. i wouldn't get in the way of the risk on sentiment seems very, very potent. after that, i get really concerned, indeed. i think the talks in the u.s. about the debt ceiling combined with spanish gdp coming out, my worries about german gdp, uk numbers at the end of this week, i think it is a rather unpleasant cocktail which is brewing. the last time, the story in the u.s. did stop the rally in its tracks. combined with bad news possibly later in th
its performance is not really tied into the uk economy. you have to start looking at the second and the third tier of the uk companies. we need to also look at the credit markets. the nonfinancials are very, very safe names. they tend to overperform in a rally. as a result, when drawing comparisons between the uk and the nonuk, one needs to be aware of the fact that we're not comparing like for like. >> final point, just what are your favorite ideas? what do you think happens with trades...
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Jan 18, 2013
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economy is recovering. the u.s. consumer has delevered, has got more confidence in the system. we're past the election. the u.s. economy is recovering. that's unmistakable. the speed of it still remains to be determined. but we're recovering. china leadership happened. china will support the growth in that economy and they will drive domestic demand. europe is not getting worse. and there are signs of green shoots even in japan at this point. >> all right. >> and then you've got all the brazil and indonesia which are still exciting stories. i feel good about where the world is heading. is it on a bull streak? no. but is it on a firmer footing? yes. as a long-term investor i care about firm footing. >> some day we will go through 15,000 on the dow, and then 16,000. and then 17,000. >> yeah. >> i mean i just wonder is that within the next couple of years? i mean it's about time. it's been -- we went from 800 to 14,000. and we haven't moved from 14,000 in like 10, 12 years. >> my father always says a journey of a thous
economy is recovering. the u.s. consumer has delevered, has got more confidence in the system. we're past the election. the u.s. economy is recovering. that's unmistakable. the speed of it still remains to be determined. but we're recovering. china leadership happened. china will support the growth in that economy and they will drive domestic demand. europe is not getting worse. and there are signs of green shoots even in japan at this point. >> all right. >> and then you've got all...